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₿CryptoActive MarketEnds Jan 1, 2027 (1mo left)

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes2¢
No98¢

Yes probability

0 points · ends 10:29:00 AM
80231:43
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Probability Distribution

Gamma snapshot
Yes 2%No 98%

Market Depth & Statistics

Total Volume
$18.9M
24h Volume
$15.6K
Total Liquidity
$110.8K
Spread
0.1¢
Best Bid
2¢
Best Ask
2¢
Last Trade
2¢
Resolution Date
Jan 1, 2027

Live Order Book · Yes

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Total displayed depth0 shares

Resolution Criteria & Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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PRO ESTIMATOR
Yes2¢ (2%)
$
Contracts Acquired6,060 shares
Price per Share2¢
Potential Payout$6060.61
Net Profit+$5960.61
Projected ROI+5961%
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