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🗳️PoliticsActive MarketEnds Nov 4, 2026 (Ended)

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Yes98¢
No2¢

Yes probability

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Probability Distribution

Gamma snapshot
Yes 98%No 2%

Market Depth & Statistics

Total Volume
$4.3M
24h Volume
$669.7K
Total Liquidity
$253.1K
Spread
0.3¢
Best Bid
98¢
Best Ask
98¢
Last Trade
98¢
Resolution Date
Nov 4, 2026

Live Order Book · Yes

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Total displayed depth0 shares

Resolution Criteria & Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Trade Simulator

PRO ESTIMATOR
Yes98¢ (98%)
$
Contracts Acquired102 shares
Price per Share98¢
Potential Payout$102.30
Net Profit+$2.30
Projected ROI+2%
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Orders settle directly on the Polygon blockchain via Polymarket CLOB exchange.

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