₿CryptoActive MarketEnds Jan 1, 2027 (1mo left)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes13¢
No88¢
Yes probability
0 points · ends 10:29:00 AM
80328:26
time left
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Probability Distribution
Gamma snapshotYes 13%No 87%
Market Depth & Statistics
- Total Volume
- $78.0M
- 24h Volume
- $143.1K
- Total Liquidity
- $337.5K
- Spread
- 1.0¢
- Best Bid
- 12¢
- Best Ask
- 13¢
- Last Trade
- 13¢
- Resolution Date
- Jan 1, 2027
Live Order Book · Yes
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Total displayed depth0 shares
Resolution Criteria & Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Trade Simulator
Yes13¢ (13%)
$
Contracts Acquired800 shares
Price per Share13¢
Potential Payout$800.00
Net Profit+$700.00
Projected ROI+700%
Orders settle directly on the Polygon blockchain via Polymarket CLOB exchange.
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